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Author Topic:   The Dow Of Presidential Elections
Randall
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Posts: 68216
From: Saturn next to Charmaine
Registered: Apr 2009

posted August 08, 2016 12:14 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Randall     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
The title of this thread reminds me of a book called, The Tao Of Pooh. It applied Winnie the Pooh to Taoism (pronounced Dowism). But this isn't about that Tao (pronounced Dow). It's about the Dow Jones Industrial. Our economy is stagnant, with 1 in 5 families not having a single member working. And 95 million people have given up on finding a job and have left the workforce. The number of people on food stamps has increased by 58% since Obama has first taken office. The debt is over $19 trillion dollars. Obama has spent more than all other presidents combined! The GDP is at only 1.2% which is lower than any recovery GDP since 1949. And family income (when adjusted for inflation) is down $185.00 from when Obama first took office. But the Dow is high. That seems counter-intuitive, but it's true. There is a Dow rule for elections. It's not an absolute rule, but in 19 of the past 22 elections where the Dow was high 3 months prior to the election, the incumbant party has won. When the Dow was down, a new party was elected. Those stats favor Hillary. Trump is trailing Hillary by 8 points in a Washington Post poll and 7 in a Real Politics poll. That's better than being 10% like some polls earlier in the week. But it ain't over till it's over. Dukakis was 16 points ahead and in September, and he still ended up losing by a landslide to Bush, Sr. The above stat just might end up being 19 of the last 23 elections come November. America loves an underdog. Remember New Orleans' super bowl bid? All of the experts said they had no chance. All of America (almost) cheered. Way behind in score. No team has ever come back from that far behind that far in the game. And out of nowhere, epic win! Who dat!?!

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