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Author Topic:   Biden Or Trump: Who Will Win...and Why
jwhop
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Posts: 15537
From: Madeira Beach, FL USA
Registered: Apr 2009

posted November 02, 2020 11:53 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for jwhop     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Here's one opinion...from a betting odds maker.

Las Vegas Oddsmaker Announces Final Prediction: Trump Electoral Landslide Coming
Wayne Allyn Root
Nov 01, 2020

It's all there. All the cards fell into place. Liberals and the biased and bribed mainstream media are just too blind to see it.

It's Donald Trump's win over Hillary Clinton all over again. It's George H.W. Bush overcoming a 17-point deficit to beat Michael Dukakis all over again. It's the final days of Ronald Reagan versus Jimmy Carter, when all of America broke for Reagan at the same time.

At this moment, if you're not blind, deaf or very dumb, it's clear that in these final days up to the election, a majority of American voters, certainly crucial voters in battleground states, are breaking to reelect President Trump.

It's all adding up to a Trump electoral landslide.

And I'm not just talking about tightening polls, the few polls that show Trump actually in the lead or battleground states where Trump is outperforming his numbers from his race against Clinton four years ago.

Much more importantly, I'm talking early-voting numbers. Trump is doing extraordinarily well in early voting in Florida, Nevada, Iowa, North Carolina and Arizona. Trump and Republicans are outkicking the coverage. In other words, they're kicking the Democrats' butts -- with the physical votes on Election Day still to come. And we all know Republicans rule on Election Day.

If Florida is representative of battleground states all over the country, Trump is about to win both the Florida popular vote and an electoral landslide. Democrats are panicking in Florida and all over the country.

Trafalgar Group, which ran the most accurate state-by-state poll of 2016 by factoring in the "shy Trump voters" (people afraid to tell a stranger on the phone they support Trump), shows Trump taking the lead this week in Florida, Michigan, North Carolina and Pennsylvania.

Rasmussen shows Trump's approval rating at 52%, five points better than former President Barack Obama's at this same time in 2012 when he was heading for reelection victory.

On Friday, Poll Watch came out with its electoral map, which shows a Trump landslide of 312 electoral votes to 226.

In the end, this is all you need to know ...

Trump is leading in Miami-Dade County and Palm Beach County (Democratic strongholds) in early voting. That's like winning the lottery. That's like two lightning strikes in the same spot. That's an election miracle.

Joe Biden added a Friday campaign event in Minnesota -- another ominous sign for Democrats. A Republican hasn't won Minnesota since 1972. Democrats clearly don't have Minnesota locked down. If Trump wins Minnesota, then a Ronald Reagan-Walter Mondale landslide is forming. All bets are off. Trump could run the table.

I'm not a pollster. I'm a gut-instinct guy. I'm a Las Vegas oddsmaker-turned-conservative talk-show host. And I just happen to be the media personality who predicted 2016 exactly right and has been predicting a 2020 Trump electoral landslide for months -- in the face of poll after poll showing double-digit leads for Joe Biden.

Here's what I know. Here's what my gut instinct says:

Nothing else matters like the poll question "Are you better off than four years ago?" Fifty-six percent of voters in one survey answered yes! That's the highest in modern history. Reagan scored 44%, and he won a 49-state landslide. Trump scored 56%.

Even more importantly, who exactly are they better off than? Common sense says they're not voting for the guy who made them feel worse (Biden) over the guy who made the feel better (Trump).

-- I know Florida is the key. If Trump wins Florida, he's in the driver's seat. And based on early-voting numbers, Florida appears to be a smashing Trump win.

-- Next in importance comes Pennsylvania. What's been happening in Pennsylvania lately? If you haven't noticed, deep-blue, Democrat-controlled Philadelphia is on fire -- rioting, looting, burning and injured cops. I guarantee the rest of Pennsylvania voters have noticed. This will push Trump over the edge in Pennsylvania. Democrats have clearly destroyed Philadelphia. Why would any sane Pennsylvanian voter want them to do the same thing to the entire country?

-- Then there's Hunter Biden's poisonous laptop. The media and social media conspired to black out any news. It didn't matter. The story got out. Did it change millions of votes? Nope. It merely changed a few key swing-state votes. That's all Trump needed.

-- Finally, I come to the infamous kill shot, the coup de grace. Just as I predicted weeks ago, the third-quarter gross domestic product was released on Friday. It showed 33.1% economic growth, the highest in America's history. It was double the highest GDP in history before this.

This is proof of the Trump economic miracle. And proof Trump has handled COVID-19 in an extraordinary way. He kept us alive and, more importantly, employed. He kept our economy alive to fight another day. He kept our businesses open. We have hope; we have opportunity; we have a future. BRAVO, President Trump.

Who'd be dumb enough to vote against that record? Thirty-three percent economic growth? Who'd be dumb enough to vote against the greatest economic growth in history? My answer is no one (except a few dumb Democrats).

Game. Set. Match. Checkmate. Trump will win a smashing electoral landslide on Tuesday.

http://townhall.com/columnists/wayneallynroot/2020/11/01/las-vegas-oddsmaker-announces-final-prediction-trump-electoral-landslide-coming-n2579146

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iQ
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From: Lyra
Registered: Apr 2009

posted November 02, 2020 03:06 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for iQ     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Granted that voting day is dominated by GOP Voters, still it is very unlikely to be a landslide.
279-259 for Trump is most likely,
say 60% chance.
279-259 for Biden is about 30% likely.
I would say 10% chance that either one goes above 300.

The biggest factor for Biden is that 70% of Registered Democrats have cast their vote in early voting of 95 million. So that is approximately 63 million Votes already.

GOP Voters have to turn out in huge numbers, and if there is over-confidence that Trump will win, then many will relax and stay back.

Trump said COVID19 will just disappear in April 2020, and today 230000+ Americans are dead. This will be the other factor against GOP. All those who lost someone to COVID or knew someone who lost someone to COVID will vote against GOP in the last moment. Trump did not shed a single tear for the dead, no mass memorial service, nothing.

------------------
Astrology Articles

New Services and short readings

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jwhop
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Posts: 15537
From: Madeira Beach, FL USA
Registered: Apr 2009

posted November 02, 2020 04:07 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for jwhop     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Thanks IQ, that's one way of looking at the election.

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Dhyana
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Posts: 883
From: US
Registered: Sep 2019

posted November 02, 2020 05:46 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Yes, there is a hidden Trump vote
Byron York

quote:
BUTLER, Pennsylvania — A man who came to President Trump's giant rally at a local airport Saturday night said he knew someone who planned to vote for Trump but felt too intimidated to say so publicly. I asked who it was. It was his mother, he answered, but she would kill him if she found out that he told anyone.

"There are a lot of people who are too afraid to put up a sign [for Trump]," he said, explaining that his neighborhood, more than an hour away, was mixed between Trump and Biden voters, and black and white voters. During the protests that followed the death of George Floyd, he said, "I pulled the Trump magnet off my Jeep. Everybody took their signs down. People don't want to be a target."

At some pro-Trump events around Pennsylvania in the last week — the president's event, a big road rally that stretched over three states, a small event for Trump volunteers and activists featuring Ivanka Trump, and in other conversations — a large number of people who openly support Trump said they knew someone personally who would vote for the president but would not publicly acknowledge doing so.


snip

quote:
At the Trump events, it's big, if mostly unspoken. At the Butler rally, Kori, from Freeport, said her sister and her father did not vote for Trump in 2016 but plan to vote for him this time. Dana, from Lower Burrell, said she knew people involved in the oil and gas industry who did not vote at all in 2016 but who plan to vote for Trump now. "Biden will shut us all down," she said. "We'll be out of work." Van, from Canonsburg, was one of them. Also in the oil and gas business, he said he did not vote for 25 years. Now, after a few years of oil and gas prosperity, he said he will definitely vote for the president.

At the Ivanka Trump event — held in the middle of rolling farmland on a chilly afternoon — Barb, from Baden, Pennsylvania, said that back in 2016, "I didn't even know my neighbors were Trump supporters until election night." Shannon, who identified herself only as a Pennsylvania voter, said, "You don't tell everyone you know that you support Trump. Seventy-five percent of the people I work with are against Trump. And it's worse now [than in 2016]. A lot of people are afraid to speak up." Added Laura, of Daisytown, "There are people who are fearful of losing their jobs if they support Trump."

At the road rally, nearly everyone said they knew someone who is too fearful, or intimidated, or just too private, to say they will vote for Trump. "I know people in their 50s who haven't voted in their entire lives, and they're going to vote for Trump," said Patrick, from Beaver County. Bradley, from Monroeville, said he not only knew such people, but he was close to them. "I've got family who have never voted," he said.


[URL=http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/columnists/yes-there-is-a-hidden-trump-vote]http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/columnists/yes-there-is-a-hidden-trump-vote[/UR L]

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Dhyana
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Posts: 883
From: US
Registered: Sep 2019

posted November 02, 2020 06:06 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by iQ:
GOP Voters have to turn out in huge numbers, and if there is over-confidence that Trump will win, then many will relax and stay back.

According to who? I don't know if you've seen the massive numbers of Trump supporters who are turning out at car caravans and boat parades. One car caravan in Arizona was 90 miles long. Another one in PA ran across three states. It strains credulity to think that Trump supporters turning out for these events aren't going to show up to vote. Everyone knows what's riding on this election.

quote:
Trump said COVID19 will just disappear in April 2020, and today 230000+ Americans are dead. This will be the other factor against GOP. All those who lost someone to COVID or knew someone who lost someone to COVID will vote against GOP in the last moment.

Probably true. On the other hand, Robert Cahaly, the chief pollster at Trafalgar Group, who has a good track record was interviewed recently and said he's finding that the lockdowns are swaying people to vote for the President.

2020 could be like 1968, at the culmination of the '60s when Nixon won, which was a backlash against the turmoil and unrest of the Uranus-Pluto cycle. We're seeing this now -given another Uranus-Pluto cycle ending - with the backlash against BLM and the riots.

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Dhyana
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From: US
Registered: Sep 2019

posted November 02, 2020 07:52 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Increased Trump voters among Hispanics and Black Americans:

New ABC poll shows 47% support among Hispanic voters in Florida. “Will likely put the state out of reach for Joe Biden.” - Steve Cortes, Real Clear Politics.

Polls are unreliable:

Democrats voting for President Trump are not polled.

First time voters not accounted for in polls, voting for President Trump.

Shy Trump voters not included in polls.

Opposition to Lockdowns

V-shape recovery

56% say they are better off today than four years ago.

Riots - people want law and order.


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Dhyana
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Posts: 883
From: US
Registered: Sep 2019

posted November 02, 2020 09:30 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
@TimMurtaugh (Communications Director, Trump Re-Election Campaign)

quote:
Biden's early vote lead is not enough & they know it.

Dems plan to call @realDonaldTrump's Election Day surge a "Red Mirage" to delegitimize his wave of support.

They'll try to create a smoke screen post-Election Day, even running TV ads to cast doubt on Nov. 3 vote.

Be ready.


http://twitter.com/TimMurtaugh/status/1323313186259480577

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SecretGeek
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From: Dallas
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posted November 02, 2020 09:43 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for SecretGeek     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
We already know they are scamming up their sleeve.

Just don't know what specifically it is yet.

There's no other way they can win except to cheat or be dishonest.

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Dhyana
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Posts: 883
From: US
Registered: Sep 2019

posted November 02, 2020 09:55 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
@Rasmussen_Poll

quote:
Nov 2, 2020 - Morning Reader Data Points:

National Daily Other Non-White (Excludes Black) Likely Voter Job Approval For
@POTUS - October 26-11/2, 2020

Mon 10/26 - 52%
Tue 10/27 - 55%
Wed 10/28 - 52%
Thu 10/29 - 54%
Fri 10/30 - 55%
Mon 11/2 - 59%



http://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1323254234964525056

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Dhyana
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From: US
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posted November 03, 2020 01:36 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Source inside the Trump campaign tells Brendan Dilley, host of The Dilley Show that Nevada is in play!

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Dhyana
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posted November 03, 2020 01:48 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
100,000 GOP vote lead in Florida as of 12:30 p.m. ET

Election Day 2020! W/Author Brenden Dilley The Dilley Show

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iQ
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posted November 03, 2020 02:32 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for iQ     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Ohio, Georgia and Florida were always in the bag for GOP.

Pennsylvania is the main State. Biden has to win it to have a chance.

As of now it is very much looking like 279-259 in Trump's favor.

However, I do not believe in any Democrat Party Scamming as GOP is very Popular, if that were so, GOP should make voting more and more easy to beat the so called Dem Scams, allow more time for checked mail in ballots, give more time for counting etc.

Trump had 4 years to improve the Voting System, and despite a booming economy got thrashed in the 2018 Congressional Polls.

This Election might end up looking more like a Referendum on Trump's handling of COVID19, the balance between unforgiveable death count and the need for overcoming lockdowns for the Economy. 2019 has been forgotten, its all 2020 Factors now.

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Dhyana
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From: US
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posted November 03, 2020 03:27 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Florida Update 3pm

Republican lead is now 143.6 thousand and counting.

http://twitter.com/athein1/status/1323720105801392133

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Dhyana
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From: US
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posted November 03, 2020 03:32 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by iQ:
Pennsylvania is the main State.


He may not need PA.


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Dhyana
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posted November 03, 2020 03:37 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
President Trump leads in Nevada

quote:
New @trafalgar_group #2020Election #BattlegroundState #NVpoll conducted 10/31 - 11/2 shows razor thin Trump lead:

49.1%
@realDonaldTrump

48.4
@JoeBiden

1.2%
@Jorgensen4POTUS

0.8% Other


http://twitter.com/RobertCahaly/status/1323516636335349760

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SecretGeek
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posted November 03, 2020 03:45 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for SecretGeek     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
With landslides, it doesn't matter.

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Dhyana
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From: US
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posted November 03, 2020 03:49 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
CEO of Trafalger Group: Trump Holds Over 20% Black Vote in Battleground States -- "Definitely Enough to Tip the Scales" for Trump (VIDEO)

http://twitter.com/gatewaypundit/status/1323274475899621378

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Dhyana
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From: US
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posted November 03, 2020 03:50 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by SecretGeek:
With landslides, it doesn't matter.

Right!

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Dhyana
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From: US
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posted November 03, 2020 04:02 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
#Republicans lead in Election Day votes in Clark County, #Nevada (Las Vegas).

🔵D: 6,740
🔴R: 10,019 (+3,279)
⚪️O: 7,579

(10:40 AM)


http://twitter.com/Wizard_Predicts/status/1323705530720882692

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Dhyana
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From: US
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posted November 03, 2020 04:04 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
BREAKING: Arizona Dems are so worried seeing Joe Biden's lead slipping away in key battleground state that they sent out frantic texts to volunteers over weekend to ignore previous COVID precautions & go out "knocking on doors" for Biden--even if canvassers have low-grade fevers

http://twitter.com/paulsperry_/status/1323696843369361409

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Dhyana
Knowflake

Posts: 883
From: US
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posted November 03, 2020 04:11 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Our new @trafalgar_group #2020Election #Georgia #poll conducted 10/31 - 11/2 shows consistent Trump lead:

49.7%
@realDonaldTrump

45.4%
@JoeBiden

2.6%
@Jorgensen4POTUS

1.0% Other Party Candidate,
1.3% Und. See Report


http://thetrafalgargroup.org/news/ga-pres-1102

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Dhyana
Knowflake

Posts: 883
From: US
Registered: Sep 2019

posted November 03, 2020 04:19 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
So many people are showing up to vote for @realDonaldTrump in New Hanover, there’s a 4 hour wait at the polls! Incredible turnout in Montgomery County!

Montgomery County is the third largest county in the Commonwealth of PA.

http://twitter.com/PhillyGOP/status/1323693224326799360

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SecretGeek
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posted November 03, 2020 04:21 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for SecretGeek     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
The Democrat Pennsylvania Attorney General voter suppression trick didn't work.

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Dhyana
Knowflake

Posts: 883
From: US
Registered: Sep 2019

posted November 03, 2020 04:22 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Here is one for everyone who is always asking about the Senior Vote in Florida...

In Sumter County, home of The Villages, the ratio of Republican to Democrat turnout is 2.5 to 1.


http://twitter.com/alipardo/status/1323710509468782592

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Dhyana
Knowflake

Posts: 883
From: US
Registered: Sep 2019

posted November 03, 2020 04:25 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Dhyana     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by SecretGeek:
The Democrat Pennsylvania Attorney General voter suppression trick didn't work.


Maybe. Philadelphia?

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